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2024-12-13 04:28:41

It is worth noting that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. According to industry analysis, the overall tone of this meeting was positive, and the macro policy is expected to continue to increase next year. The meeting put forward "strengthening the regulation of unconventional and countercyclical policies", which was the first time that a major meeting mentioned the word "unconventional", or indicated that the follow-up policy measures would be more diversified. The importance of domestic demand expansion is further highlighted, and the scope and intensity of subsequent consumption promotion policies are expected to increase.According to the statistics of the First Financial Reporter, the 100 stocks with the smallest closing market value on September 23 have almost doubled up to now. In the same period, the average increase of 66 stocks in the market value component was 19.2%, and the average increase of the fund's heavy stocks was 27.5%, which was far worse than that of small-cap stocks.


The "seesaw" performance of blue-chip stocks and small-cap stocks is vividly interpreted in this round of market. Large-cap blue chips and core assets with stable operation and better fundamentals have obviously underperformed the small-cap sector of emerging technology sectors.The "disappearing" low-priced stocks also reflect the style that funds are keen on "speculating small". The "roller coaster of low-priced stocks during the year: the number of stocks in half a year is reduced by 90%, and the liquidity drives the stocks to soar" published by CBN on December 8 pointed out that the number of A-share low-priced stocks (below 2 yuan) has been reduced by about 90% in the past six months, and the hot money has used the concept to speculate on related targets, pushing the low-priced stocks to rise sharply. Sunrise Oriental (603366.SH), Nanjing Chemical Fiber (600889.SH), Leo (002131.SZ), *ST Tongzhou (002205.SZ), Hainengda (002583.SZ), and Doushen Education (300010.SZ). As of December 9, there were 21 A-share low-priced stocks, one less than the previous trading day.On December 9th, Wonder Microdisk Index continued to hit a record high, closing at 359,303.64 points, with a cumulative increase of 25.11% during the year. The fund's heavy position index rose by 7.63% during the year, and the underperformed microdisk index was nearly 18 percentage points.


According to the statistics of the First Financial Reporter, the 100 stocks with the smallest closing market value on September 23 have almost doubled up to now. In the same period, the average increase of 66 stocks in the market value component was 19.2%, and the average increase of the fund's heavy stocks was 27.5%, which was far worse than that of small-cap stocks.SDIC Securities Research Report pointed out that from the perspective of capital, this phenomenon (micro-disk stocks hit a record high) is naturally easy to explain: the core of the incremental fund group is retail hot money, and the pricing power is not in the hands of institutions.Compared with small and medium-sized stocks, large-cap stocks have always been known for their stable operating performance and higher dividends. According to the analysis and research report of Guotai Junan's third quarterly report, the performance of all A-shares declined in the first three quarters. In the third quarter, the net profit growth rate of all A-share non-financial and non-petroleum and petrochemical listed companies (hereinafter referred to as "all A-shares and two non-shares") was -10.8% year-on-year, which was further enlarged compared with the second quarter of 2024, with a cumulative year-on-year growth rate of -8.0%, and negative growth for seven consecutive quarters. In terms of revenue, the cumulative growth rate of all A companies in the third quarter of 2024 was -1.6%, and it was -0.7% in the second quarter of 2024, with an enlarged decline.

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